差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话撼动金价

鲍威尔关于货币政策的最新讲话震动了黄金价格,因为美联储的目标是维持较高利率。

XAUUSD - Daily Chart

现货黄金-日线图

黄金价格已跌破上行趋势支撑线2640美元的水平。支撑位最初在2520美元的较低水平。

本周,美联储主席鲍威尔预测2025年将降息两次,这是市场预期的四次降息的一半,震惊了市场,金价因此受到打击。

通胀数据和经济走强让美联储官员认为,任务还没有完成。周四在美国最新数据显示经济增长快于此前预期之后,金价延续了跌势,主要原因是出口增加和消费者支出强劲。

美国第三季度GDP年化增长率为3.1%,高于此前预期的2.8%和第二季度的3%。

最新数据发布之前,美联储将利率下调了25个基点,但暗示明年的降息幅度较小。与此同时,上周申请失业救济人数的下降幅度也大于预期。

降息预期给黄金带来了巨大支撑,这使得这种贵金属更具吸引力。在利率较高的时期,投资者可以将资金投资于安全的美国债券以获得收益,但随着利率下降,投资者对黄金作为替代选择的兴趣更大。

如果投资者看到降息的上行空间已在历史高位到期,黄金目前面临进一步抛售的风险。

鲍威尔还表示,特朗普的关税改变了美联储货币政策的步伐。

鲍威尔说:“这是一种常识,当道路不确定时,你会走得稍微慢一点。”“这就像在雾蒙蒙的夜晚开车,或者走进一间摆满家具的黑屋子;你只要慢下来。”

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