差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美联储的量化紧缩是本周的一大主题

市场正在期待本周的关键事件,因为美联储考虑结束其量化紧缩(QT)的努力。

EURUSD – Daily Chart (1)

欧元兑美元-日线图

欧元兑美元已从近期低点小幅反弹,在关键支撑位1.15575之前,未来一周将非常重要。低于该水平,1.1400将是下一个目标。

市场预计美联储短期利率将下调25个基点,将宣布结束资产负债表缩减。美联储主席鲍威尔在10月14日的讲话中提到了美联储结束QT的计划。

美联储做出这一决定之际,美国政府仍处于停摆状态,一些政府工作人员被告知,停摆可能会持续到12月。目前,政府停摆导致每周GDP增长拖累约0.2%。毕马威表示,政府关门时间越长,亏损也往往越高。据说这些损失已经得到了弥补,但这次的损失比之前的许多次停工都要大。

分析人士预计,由于75万名政府工作人员在政府关门期间无薪工作,消费者支出将放缓。

除此之外,隔夜联邦基金市场的流动性正在枯竭,这损害了货币政策降息的能力。随着美国两起引人注目的银行破产事件以及一些人抛售地区性银行股,市场对银行的担忧卷土重来,银行一直在向美联储存入资金

欧洲央行也将于本周宣布最新的利率决定,但他们已发出立场,表示将按兵不动。

欧元兑美元的强势最近停滞不前,但交易员可以关注本周市场对美联储和贸易协议的反应。这可能决定未来几周外汇市场的走势。

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本周美联储决议前夕,美国通胀进一步制造加息压力

要点 美国8月消费者物价加速上涨,核心CPI创四个月来最大环比升幅。 CPI数据公布后,短期利率期货交易员预计美联储在本周会议上加息25个基点的概率约为86.7%。 不过数据公布后,美股和黄金结束此前的连跌,而是在市场仓位调整中反弹,继续等待本周美联储决议。 今日关注:本周市场迎来备受瞩目的“超级央

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下周加息预期飙高突破70%!今晚美国通胀箭在弦上

要点 美国股市和黄金在周四收低,美债收益率和美元走强。 8月PPI(同比增长5.4%)和油价飙升引发对美联储下周加息(概率突破70%)的担忧,原油价格则因美伊局势紧张加剧而进一步大涨。 今日关注:美国8月CPI:这是美联储下周议息会议前的最后一份通胀大考。当前市场博弈焦点在于通胀是否停滞还是超预期。

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苹果新CEO迎来首秀,首款折叠iPhone能否带来惊喜?

  要点 伊朗支持的也门胡塞武装对多个沙特城市发动空袭,中东战火范围似乎有扩大迹象,可能扰乱霍尔木兹海峡以外的中东能源供应。加上市场观望本周晚些时候的美国通胀,谨慎情绪在昨日继续影响美股和黄金表现,原油价格继续跟随中东局势走高。 今日关注:次日凌晨关注苹果公司举行秋季新品发布会,今年外界最

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日元继续飙至六个月高位,北美市场假期后波动回归

要点 昨日美国市场因银行假日休市,因此市场波动相对有限,美元因为日元急涨而回落,原油价格继续受到中东局势的支撑而上涨,伊朗誓言,若美国进一步袭击其资产,将打击整个中东地区的能源基础设施。 今日关注:日内各国主要数据清淡,但北美市场假期回归将带来交投的增加。今早亚市公布的日本二季度实际GDP修正值季率

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