差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

原油价格持续走强或有望迎来突破

2026年原油价格持续上涨,目前66美元关口构成阻力,阻碍价格进一步上涨。

USOIL – Daily Chart

USOIL – 日线图

美国原油价格已悄然从55美元附近的低点回升至略低于66美元关口的水平。若突破该关口,目标价位可能为70美元和76美元。

金属和食品等大宗商品牛市并未波及原油期货,但强劲的牛市可能已经结束。

由于市场等待伊朗和美国谈判的结果,油价持续上涨。受霍尔木兹海峡石油运输可能中断的担忧影响,英国布伦特原油和美国WTI原油基准价格均有所上涨。

PVM分析师表示:“如果没有中东地区的紧张局势,油价会更低。”

上周,美国军方在阿拉伯海击落了一架“咄咄逼人”接近美国航母的伊朗无人机。另有报道称,一群伊朗炮艇在阿曼北部海域接近了一艘油轮。据官员透露,两国将于周五在阿曼举行会谈。

霍尔木兹海峡对沙特阿拉伯、伊朗、阿联酋、科威特和伊拉克的出口至关重要,这些出口货物主要运往亚洲。印度1月份从俄罗斯进口的石油数量有所下降,加剧了自去年12月西方制裁以来的下滑趋势。

美国能源信息署周三表示,由于一场严重的冬季风暴席卷美国大部分地区,原油库存上周有所下降。该机构称,上周原油库存减少了350万桶,至4.203亿桶,产量也降至2024年11月以来的最低水平。

这些评论表明,有关重油供应过剩的讨论已经消退,做空交易员对油价下跌的预期也会降低。近期黄金和白银成为新闻焦点,而石油则保持低调,在即将到来的阻力位测试前稳步上涨。

关于作者

 

Martin Lam 是 ATFX 亚太区首席分析师,在全球外汇及投资市场拥有逾 20 年的经验。他毕业于迪肯大学(Deakin University),主修金融与经济学,并曾在多家领先的外汇经纪公司担任高级管理职位。

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