随着特朗普注意力转向鲍威尔,美元指数面临风险

美元指数经历了艰难的数周,随着特朗普将注意力转向美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的工作,还存在进一步的风险。

USDX – Weekly Chart

美元指数-周线图

美元汇价跌破100的关键水平,但在99.62的低位支撑。对该指数来说,在这一点上找到优势至关重要,否则市场可能出现进一步波动。

在以关税动摇金融市场之后,特朗普总统开始评论这位央行行长的未来。鲍威尔一直在公开谈论关税导致通货膨胀,这将损害特朗普削减利率的愿望。

特朗普是否有能力撤换央行行长还存在不确定性。然而,特朗普挑衅地说:

“如果我想让他出来,他很快就会出来的,相信我。”

最近金融市场的动荡威胁到美元作为世界储备货币的地位。总统补充说,他对鲍威尔“不满意”,并表示鲍威尔在利率问题上“玩弄政治”。

“我们有一个玩弄政治的美联储主席。一个我从来都不喜欢的人. …现在利率应该下降了。”

《华尔街日报》报道称,特朗普几个月来一直在讨论解雇美联储主席。他还在社交媒体上就鲍威尔最近的言论发表了强烈声明,指出欧洲央行计划第七次降息。他说,鲍威尔“太晚了,而且错了”,他早就应该降息了。

一些欧洲和美国市场周五因复活节假期休市,交易可能会比较安静。

美元目前的支撑位仍有希望,交易商应密切关注贸易谈判,以寻找可能的反弹。几个亚洲国家已经开始与美国谈判,但中国还没有。如果他们仍然固执己见,美国经济和美元可能会继续挣扎。中国对公众对关税的关注和总统“不尊重”的语气感到不满。

日本代表本周在白宫,但特朗普表示,“不急于”在峰会上宣布任何协议。

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