美元兑加元汇率本周聚焦数据的公布

美元兑加元汇率本周走势可能受到经济数据的影响。

USDCAD – Daily Chart

美元兑加元-日图

如果加元继续走强,美元兑加元汇率有望在1.3615下方获得支撑。

周二晚间,香港时间晚上8点30分将公布加拿大通胀率数据。市场预计通胀率将从上月的2.7%降至2.6%的水平。两小时后,美国消费者信心指数将公布。交易员还将关注周四公布的美国GDP增长数据和周五公布的个人消费支出通胀数据。

周一,美国国债收益率走弱一直在影响美元汇率。美联储官员已暗示,今年只会降息一次,但投资者正在寻找加速降息的数据或事件。

加拿大央行总裁麦克莱姆周一表示,尽管通胀下降,但加拿大劳动力市场仍有足够的疲软,足以推动经济增长并创造更多就业机会。

加央行本月加入欧洲央行的行列,四年多来首次下调政策利率,并表示,如果通胀继续显示它正稳步回到2%的目标,可能会进一步降息。

“尽管通胀继续向目标靠近,但经济仍有增长和增加就业的空间,” 麦克莱姆表示。

他补充说,官员们认为,要达到2%的通胀目标,不需要大幅提高失业率。

他说:“这条路一直很窄,我们还没有完全坚持着陆。”

“找工作困难表明,政府还有一些空间来减缓非永久居民的增长,而不会过度收紧劳动力市场,造成严重的劳动力短缺。”

美联储主席鲍威尔对5月通胀下降表示欢迎,但表示政策制定者仍在寻找经济降温的持续迹象。

他对记者表示:“我们认为今天的报告是一种进步,正在建立信心,但我们不认为自己有信心在这个时候开始放松政策。”

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欧佩克+8月增产令引发供应担忧,油价下跌

周一,欧佩克+七个产油国同意将8月份的日产量目标提高18.8万桶,这是连续第五个月增产,令交易员重新关注供应过剩风险,与此同时,海湾地区的原油出口也在复苏。受此消息影响,油价小幅走低。 格林尼治标准时间01:21,美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货(CL)下跌0.5%,至每桶68.78美元。布伦特原油期货(LCO)下跌0.2%,至每桶71.96美元。

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美联储利率预期保持稳定,沃什力挺通胀目标

美联储主席凯文·沃什周三表示,美联储不会容忍通胀率高于2%的目标。他在葡萄牙举行的政策论坛上回击了降息压力。交易员们仍然认为,7月份美联储会议维持利率不变的可能性超过70%,而9月份会议是否会加息则仍难以预测。 走势详情

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