美国科技股守在支撑位迎来重要的一周

纳斯达克100指数在未来一周将面临重要考验,由于企业业绩和经济数据表现良好,该指数有望保持稳定。

NAS 100 – Daily Chart

纳斯达克100日线图

纳斯达克100指数在25,829点的阻力位后回落至25,522点。25,000点将是未来上涨前的关键支撑位。

在近期甲骨文和Meta在人工智能方面的支出问题引发担忧之后,投资者在等待大型科技公司财报公布之前保持谨慎态度。自10月达到高点以来,美国科技股一直波动不定,投资者都在寻找新的刺激因素。

近几周来,美国总统的言论对股市构成了阻力,此前在委内瑞拉和伊朗发生了事件,现在又因格陵兰岛问题而重新出现紧张局势。接下来的一周有重要事件,包括周三晚上的特朗普就职演讲和周四的重要经济数据。第三季度国内生产总值修正数据将与 11 月核心个人消费支出价格指数一同公布。投资者将关注后者,以寻找顽固通胀的迹象。

核心个人消费支出指数是美联储偏好的通胀衡量指标,对央行的货币政策计划至关重要。强劲的国内生产总值加上更高的通胀可能会使利率维持在较高水平,但增长疲弱和通胀放缓可能会支持鸽派立场。美国股市的财报季仍在继续,网飞和英特尔将于本周公布业绩,同时蓝筹股公司强生和宝洁也将发布财报。

周一股市可能面临风险,因为特朗普表示将对反对其控制格陵兰岛计划的欧洲国家征收10%的关税。该关税将于6月提高至25%,适用于丹麦、挪威、瑞典、法国、德国、荷兰、英国和芬兰。

这些关税将加剧欧洲国家的经济衰退风险,并进一步恶化与美国的关系。科技股一直表现稳健,但全球风险依然存在,一些大型人工智能公司的糟糕财报可能会导致更大的回调。

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