基于对经济衰退的担忧,金价飙升至3000美元上方的新高

由于美元仍面临压力,金价本周飙升至3000美元上方的新高。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart

现货黄金-日线图

黄金的价格已突破阻力位2,958美元,达到3,043美元上方的新高。除非美元发生变化,否则黄金会继续升值。

市场预计,由于经济放缓和经济衰退风险,金价将继续上涨,部分原因是唐纳德·特朗普总统的关税政策。

英国最大的在线交易商BullionByPost的主管Peter Walden表示:

“自1月份特朗普总统就职以来,随着活动在2月份达到顶峰,我们观察到寻求在其投资组合中增加实物黄金的散户投资者显著增加。在经济不确定性和通胀担忧的背景下,许多人将黄金视为最终的避险资产。”

他的公司今年的黄金销量比去年增长了137%。

在美联储维持利率不变,美联储主席鲍威尔表示关税的影响将是短期的之后,黄金价格在过去两天停滞不前。

“我认为这是一种基本情况,”他说,并补充说,央行目前无法真正了解关税将产生的总体影响。然而,一些分析人士并不相信关税影响将是“暂时的”。

“风险在于,如果今年晚些时候增加额外的关税,或者关税推高了通胀预期和工资预期,关税可能会对通胀产生更持久的影响,”阿波罗首席经济学家托斯滕·斯洛克告诉《财富》杂志。

特朗普表示,在关税影响经济的同时,央行应该降低利率。

美元回落是近期金价走势的一大推手,投资者认为各国央行的黄金买盘将继续支撑金价的上行趋势。鉴于目前的市场情绪,任何回调都可能被许多看涨交易员视为一种折扣。

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