科技股受利率路径和中东局势影响承压

美国科技股周一走低,原因是交易员降低了降息预期。

NAS 100 – Daily Chart

NAS100 -日线图

NAS100指数已跌破近期阻力位19,955。进一步走弱可能引发更大规模的回调。

受国债收益率上升的压力,美国科技股小幅走低。上周五公布强于预期的9月份就业报告后,10年期国债收益率攀升至两个月高点。劳动力市场的强劲消除了市场认为美联储在下个月的美联储会议上降息50个基点的可能性。

市场现在将等待周四的消费者价格数据,看看价格放缓的趋势是否会持续下去。市场普遍认为,9月份CPI环比年率将从8月份的2.5%回落至2.3%。9月份的核心CPI(不含食品和能源)预计将与8月份持平,为3.2%。

交易员现在认为,美联储在11月6日至7日的会议上降息25个基点的可能性为83%,降息50个基点的可能性为0%。

中东紧张局势也降低了投资者对风险资产的兴趣,对股市构成负面影响。除加沙外,以色列还在黎巴嫩对真主党发动地面和空中进攻。以色列国防军今天表示,它已经在黎巴嫩南部部署了第三个师的部队,同时继续对贝鲁特进行空袭。市场也在等待以色列对上周二伊朗导弹袭击的回应。

亚马逊股价下跌2%,此前富国银行将亚马逊股票的权重从增持下调至增持。特斯拉的股票本周将举行重要的机器人出租车发布会,但该股周一下跌了3.13%。

最近的新闻
受就业数据提振,美联储加息预期升温,金价跌破4350美元

周二,由于美国就业数据强于预期,市场对美联储今年晚些时候加息的预期降低,交易员纷纷押注美联储将在今年晚些时候加息,金价因此跌破每盎司4350美元。 截至格林尼治标准时间03:02,现货黄金下跌0.4%至每盎司4313.11美元,延续了上周五的跌势。上周五,金价下跌约3%,创下3月24日以来的最低水平。8月黄金期货(GC=F)下跌0.7%至每盎司4336.30美元。

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强劲的美国就业数据提振对利率长期维持高位的预期,金价跌至每盎司4450美元附近

周三,受强于预期的美国就业报告的影响,金价跌至每盎司4450美元附近。该报告强化了市场对美联储将维持高利率更长时间的预期,削弱了这种无收益贵金属的吸引力。 现货黄金下跌0.79%,至每盎司4451.60美元左右,从近期4500美元以上的高位回落。交易员减少了对美联储提前降息的押注。此次下跌是在美国劳动力市场持续展现韧性之后发生的,最新的就业数据超出预期,降低了政策制定者近期放松货币政策的压力。

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美元走强,JOLTS就业岗位空缺升至近两年来最高,聚焦周五非农就业

美元走强,此前美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示,4月份职位空缺激增至761.8万个,创下2024年6月以来的最高水平,远高于分析师此前预测的680万个。 美元指数(DXY)衡量美元兑六种主要货币的汇率,在数据公布后一度攀升至99.20附近。4月份职位空缺较3月份修正后的688.7万个增加了73.1万个,创下近两年来最大的月度增幅。

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受美伊停火协议影响,比特币跌至六周低点

周四,比特币价格跌破73,000美元,触及逾六周以来的最低水平。据交易员和市场数据显示,美国对伊朗再次发动军事打击,加剧了地缘政治的不确定性,并给全球风险资产带来压力。 市值最大的加密货币比特币在早盘交易中下跌约4%,一度跌至72,700美元附近,延续了本周早些时候的跌势。以太坊和其他主要代币也出现下跌。

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