科技股受利率路径和中东局势影响承压

美国科技股周一走低,原因是交易员降低了降息预期。

NAS 100 – Daily Chart

NAS100 -日线图

NAS100指数已跌破近期阻力位19,955。进一步走弱可能引发更大规模的回调。

受国债收益率上升的压力,美国科技股小幅走低。上周五公布强于预期的9月份就业报告后,10年期国债收益率攀升至两个月高点。劳动力市场的强劲消除了市场认为美联储在下个月的美联储会议上降息50个基点的可能性。

市场现在将等待周四的消费者价格数据,看看价格放缓的趋势是否会持续下去。市场普遍认为,9月份CPI环比年率将从8月份的2.5%回落至2.3%。9月份的核心CPI(不含食品和能源)预计将与8月份持平,为3.2%。

交易员现在认为,美联储在11月6日至7日的会议上降息25个基点的可能性为83%,降息50个基点的可能性为0%。

中东紧张局势也降低了投资者对风险资产的兴趣,对股市构成负面影响。除加沙外,以色列还在黎巴嫩对真主党发动地面和空中进攻。以色列国防军今天表示,它已经在黎巴嫩南部部署了第三个师的部队,同时继续对贝鲁特进行空袭。市场也在等待以色列对上周二伊朗导弹袭击的回应。

亚马逊股价下跌2%,此前富国银行将亚马逊股票的权重从增持下调至增持。特斯拉的股票本周将举行重要的机器人出租车发布会,但该股周一下跌了3.13%。

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