股市等待对美国就业疲软的反应

美国及其他地区的股市将在周五等待投资者对本周美国就业数据的反应。

SPX 500 – Daily Chart

标准普尔500指数-日线图

标准普尔500指数在6,512点阻力位被拒绝,但周五尾盘有一些买盘。

市场一直在等待美联储9月份降息已成定局的信号。一些人甚至认为有可能降息50个基点,但他们最终得到的却是美国经济真正疲软的信号。经济学家现在将着眼于更大的前景,因为一系列降息可能不会像预期的那样起到提振作用,近期的市场反弹可能被视为过度。

美国劳工统计局(BLS)周五公布的数据显示,随着就业增长大幅放缓,失业率上升。最新数据显示,美国8月份失业率升至4.3%,高于2025年7月的4.2%。8月份经济只能增加2.2万个就业岗位,比7月份的7.9万个大幅下降。

美联储将于本月晚些时候,即9月16日至17日召开会议,决定美国经济的基准利率。

投资者现在将等待美联储下一次美联储的降息决定。美联储在上次会议上表示,它需要更多的时间和数据来做出决定。美联储主席鲍威尔在声明中说,美国的通货膨胀率仍处于“有点高”的水平,但失业率仍然很低。随着最新的就业数据的公布,这种情况已经恶化。根据CME的美联储观察工具,市场预计9月份降息的可能性为87.8%。

科技巨头甲骨文将于周二公布财报,该公司最近的举动凸显了美国就业市场的一个问题。甲骨文已经裁员约3000人,加入了微软等公司的行列。自5月以来,微软在全球裁员1.5万人,并投入800亿美元用于人工智能支出。

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