欧佩克再次削减需求预测,拖累油价下跌

欧佩克对需求的悲观展望再次引发了人们对供应过剩的担忧,而中东的紧张局势已经有所消退。

USOIL – Daily Chart

美国原油-日图

美国原油价格已经从强劲上涨78美元高位的水平回落。支撑位在67.70美元,要想保持看涨,需要突破76美元。

在OPEC连续第三次下调2024年需求预测后,美国原油期货周一下跌超过2%。

欧佩克周一表示,该组织目前预计,2024年石油需求将增长190万桶/日,低于此前预测的200万桶/日。欧佩克目前预计,2025年的需求将增长160万桶/天,而此前的需求为170万桶/天。

中国财政部长在周末的新闻发布会上也令市场失望,交易员不确定世界第二大经济体的刺激力度。几个月来,石油最大客户中国的需求走软拖累了市场。

石油公司PVM的分析师Tamas Varga表示:“中国的货币刺激措施未能起到刺激作用,财政部周末承诺增加借贷的承诺,缺乏令人安心和令人信服的细节。”

由于担心以色列对伊朗实施报复性打击,交易员们继续关注中东局势。据美国全国广播公司报道,美国官员显然限制了他们的目标,并表示他们将专注于军事资产,而不是核或基础设施。

油价似乎已经找到了底部,但全球经济的疲软仍在影响需求前景。未来可能会有进一步的动荡,因为以色列的袭击可能会引发伊朗的进一步袭击。

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