原油价格等待本周OPEC+会议和美国PCE数据

周一亚洲早盘,油价保持稳定,市场期待定于6月2日召开的欧佩克+会议。这次会议具有重要意义,因为预计它将解决今年剩余时间内自愿减产是否继续的问题。

USOIL-4 Hour chart

截至格林尼治标准时间0036,布伦特原油7月合约价格小幅上涨11美分,至每桶82.23美元。更为活跃的8月合约LCOc2上涨13美分,至81.97美元。

美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货上涨13美分,至77.85美元。

周一美国和英国的公共假期预计将保持相对清淡的交易。

OPEC周五表示,即将举行的即OPEC+会议将推迟一天至6月2日,并将在网上举行。

在即将召开的OPEC+会议上,产油国将考虑将自愿减产220万桶/日的计划延长至今年下半年。这一决定如果实施,可能会对油价产生重大影响,来自欧佩克+国家的三位消息人士表示,该决定可能会延长。

再加上截至今年年底的366万桶/天的减产,减产量相当于全球石油需求的近6%。

欧佩克预计,明年的石油需求将强劲增长,预计将增加225万桶/天。相比之下,国际能源署的预测更为保守,预计日产量增幅将放缓至120万桶。这种预测差异凸显了市场的不确定性和仔细分析的必要性。

澳新银行分析师在一份报告中表示,随着北半球进入夏季,他们将密切关注汽油的使用情况。夏季传统上是驾车度假的旺季。

他们还指出,燃油效率的提高和电动汽车对石油需求的潜在影响,可能会被航空旅行的增加所抵消。

市场还将关注本周美国个人消费支出(PCE)指数,以寻找有关利率政策的更多信号。据报道,该指数将于5月31日发布,是美联储首选的通胀指标。

布伦特原油上周收跌约2%。美联储会议纪要显示,如果一些官员认为有必要控制持续的通胀,他们将愿意进一步收紧利率,此后一周西德克萨斯中质原油价格下跌近3%。

利率将在更长时间内走高的前景,已使美元走强,对于持有其它货币的国家,原油变得更加昂贵。

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