香港股市仍在寻求关键的突破

恒生指数正处于一个重要的长期水平,潜在的突破可能为长期低点铺平道路,为投资者提供了一个充满希望的前景。

HK50 – Daily Chart

HK50指数—日图

HK50指数目前收于16723点,在16000点的水平找到了双底,显示出了韧性。2020年末低点的支撑位仍在发挥作用,更强劲的下行趋势阻力线在17000点左右。突破这一水平可以推动市场再次向20,000的水平,显示其稳定性。

亚洲股市周五走低,亚洲市场普遍回落,此前美联储一名官员的鹰派言论降低了美联储最早将于今年6月降息的预期。

恒生指数周五下跌不到0.1%,无论美联储采取何种举措,抛售压力都有所缓解。

明尼阿波利斯联邦储备银行行卡什卡利表示,上周五公布的强劲就业报告令降息下注者失望,而顽固的通胀可能会关闭美国今年降息的大门。

“如果我们继续看到通胀横摆,那么我将质疑我们是否需要降息,”卡什卡利说,他上个月预计2024年将有两次降息。“目前经济发展势头强劲。”

芝加哥商品交易所集团基于联邦基金期货的数据显示,截至上周五,对美联储6月会议降息的预期为54.3%,而周四为61.8%。美国消费者价格指数2月份同比上涨3.2%,高于1月份的3.1%。

恒生指数可能会因持仓率而波动。然而,守住目前的支撑位并突破下行趋势阻力位可能会导致香港股市反弹。对该指数而言,突破17000点将是一个良好的开端。

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