投资者寻求避险,黄金多头再度主导

黄金已经摆脱了2024年末的调整,向3000美元的水平飙升。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart

黄金-日线图

黄金价格再次从12月的低点近2600美元飙升至目前的2906美元。3000美元可能很快成为目标。

金价1月份收于每盎司2812美元的历史高点,当月上涨8%,为1月份的强劲纪录又添了一个积极的开端。兑所有主要货币的汇率也创下历史新高。

中国黄金市场的活动似乎也遵循了季节性模式,并暗示到2月份可能会有一些后续行动。欧洲经济已经稳定下来,但德国大选有可能进一步打压美元。

这个欧盟最大的经济体将于2月23日投票选举新一届议会。这次投票可能会引发国家领导层的变化,弗里德里希·梅尔茨领导的保守派将成为领导下一届政府的首选。

该国经济前景的大幅放缓损害了欧元区整体经济,目前的关税是一种风险。新的领导层可能会帮助经济重新启动,推动国家和地区再次向前发展。

有趣的是,尽管最近加沙停火,以及乌克兰和俄罗斯的和平谈判,黄金也在飙升。唐纳德·特朗普与弗拉基米尔·普京和弗拉基米尔·泽伦斯基进行了两次长时间的通话,并表示他将访问俄罗斯,并提出在美国接待普京。

特朗普表示,谈判将“立即”开始,他试图结束两国长达三年的战争。他说,乌克兰加入北约是不切实际的,而且不太可能收回所有被占领的土地。

市场可能不信任和平进程,意味着贵金属价格继续飙升。

最近的新闻
美伊和谈乐观情绪提振金价,美元承压

周三亚洲早盘,现货黄金价格在每盎司4840美元附近波动,受美伊和谈重启希望提振,美元走软,能源风险引发的通胀担忧有所缓解。此前有报道称,华盛顿和德黑兰正考虑举行第二轮谈判,金价基本维持了前一交易日2.1%的涨幅。美国总统特朗普暗示,谈判可能在几天内重启。 市场概览

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尽管澳储行鹰派立场增强,澳元仍走弱

周二亚洲早盘交易中,澳元兑美元(AUD/USD)下跌0.3%至0.7065,交易员正在消化澳大利亚储备银行4月会议纪要。纪要强化了鹰派政策倾向,但并未承诺立即加息。澳元兑美元回吐了周一反弹至0.7090附近的涨幅。此前,由于能源成本高企带来的滞胀风险,政策制定者在何时进一步收紧货币政策的问题上仍存在分歧,澳元兑美元的抛售压力因此加剧。 澳元兑美元

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