英镑兑美元汇率等待英国GDP数据

随着市场等待最新的英国GDP数据公布,英镑兑美元继续反弹。

GBPUSD – Daily Chart

英镑兑美元-日线图

英镑兑美元的价格已经从1.3200反弹到近1.3600,这是4月份上升趋势的关键水平。

英国将于周四发布最新的GDP数据,市场预计继上月0.7%的增长后,该数据将增长0.1%。

英国经济在连续两个月下滑后,预计将在6月份恢复增长。接受彭博社调查的经济学家预计,英国国家统计局将公布6月份的增长数据为0.2%。英国国家统计局表示,由于企业继续挣扎,英国经济在4月份和5月份分别放缓0.3%和0.1%。

关税效应也对英国对美国的商品出口产生了影响,4月份英国对美国的商品出口减少了20亿英镑,这是有记录以来最大的月度降幅。

巴克莱经济学家Jack Meaning表示,今年第一季度GDP增长0.7%,主要是由“临时因素”推动的,包括买家希望在关税影响之前购买商品。经济数据公布后,人们的注意力将转向特朗普和普京之间的会晤。

美国国债现已超过37万亿美元,创下历史新高。尽管有关税收入,但政府的借贷已经加速,其他成本也在产生影响。

受美联储降息的最新信号影响,美元走弱。经济学家现在预计9月份会出现降息,而英国劳动力部门的最新数据也显示出对英镑的良好支持。

最新的GDP数据将考验英国经济和英镑的实力。

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