中国股市努力保持看涨态势

地缘政治新闻给中国蓝筹股指数带来了一些波动。

CHINA 50 – Daily Chart

中国50日线图

中国50指数的价格有一度面临回落到之前的交易区间的风险,但又回到了阻力位13,807之上,现在该位成为最近上升趋势线突破后的关键支撑位。

上周早些时候,在俄罗斯和美国就乌克兰问题继续口水战之后,中国股市遭到压力。中国疲弱的制造业数据也拖累了该国主要股票。

标普全球的数据显示,中国7月份工厂活动数据出现收缩,新订单走软迫使制造商缩减生产和裁员。7月制造业采购经理人指数从6月的50.4降至49.5,因企业在美国加征关税前增加了订单。

该指数低于50意味着经济萎缩,对于该国喜忧参半的复苏来说,这不是一个理想的消息。产量下降和订单积压稳定促使工厂主在7月份减少了员工数量。调查显示,成本担忧是管理人员裁员的另一个原因。

随着平均投入价格5个月来首次上涨,中国政府开始关注制造商之间的“价格战”。随着竞争加剧,预计企业仍将再次降价。但关税的影响正在导致出口费用的波动,航运和物流成本不断上升。

中国股市的最新价格走势表明,随着关税继续侵蚀全球对制成品的需求,全球紧张局势带来了一些风险。现在的焦点转向了美国总统特朗普和俄罗斯总统普京之间的峰会。两国之间的和平协议可能会引发全球市场反弹。

尽管距离特朗普对从中国进口的商品征收更高关税的最后期限还有一天,但周一亚洲股市走高。此前的谈判导致了90天的延期,但最新的计划尚未得到证实。

另一次延长是可能的,但如果不这样做,中国50指数可能会回到之前的交易区间。

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