由于对英国的担忧,英镑/加元可能进一步回撤

随着英国政府威胁要开征财富税以弥补政府财政漏洞,英镑兑加元汇率可能进一步下跌。

GBPCAD – Daily Chart

英镑/加元-日线图

英镑/加元在1.8782强劲阻力位被拒,并从1.8550开始微弱反弹。周五公布的数据可能会推动该货币对下周向1.8300-400迈进。

香港时间周五下午2点有一些中等强度的英镑数据,包括之前发布的GDP增长数据。周五的数据可能与分析师的预期相差不大,由于交易商等待加拿大晚上的就业数据,今日可能会平静下来。但如果投资者认为加元是这两种货币中更稳定的投资选择,那么英镑近期的跌势可能还会继续。

英国政府一直因经济处理不力、政策逆转以及最近有关征收财富税的言论而受到抨击。最近的数据显示,伦敦的豪宅价格已经下跌,1.65万名百万富翁离开了这个国家,其他人可能也会效仿。征收财富税可能加剧这一趋势,并给英国的增长前景带来严重压力。

最新数据显示,在过去两年里,英国失去的亿万富翁数量也是世界上最多的。这加剧了人们的担忧,即如果政府试图进一步向富人征税,可能会有更多资金退出。新世界财富的数据显示,在2023年和2024年期间,英国失去了四分之一的亿万富翁人口,这一数字甚至高于受到制裁打击的俄罗斯。

最近几天,加元兑美元汇率一直在苦苦挣扎,这凸显了英镑的潜在弱势。加元兑美元汇率触及12天低点,原因是美元没有理会美国最新的关税威胁。加元避免了美国进口成本带来的任何严重损害,但投资者开始相信,抛售美元做得过头了。

周五加拿大就业市场若表现强劲,支撑位明确下,下周加元可能进一步走强。

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