英国大选后,欧元兑英镑成为焦点

随着工党在英国大选中的胜利尘埃落定,本周德国公布经济数据,欧元兑英镑跟随走强。

EURGBP – Weekly Chart

欧元英镑-周图

欧元兑英镑低于之前的强劲支撑位0.85左右。下面没有空间测试较低水平0.8346和0.8250。

在法国大选和英国大选之后,英镑走强。

在工党上周以压倒性优势赢得大选后,投资者正在评估英国税收和利率的前景。工党已承诺对福利制度进行彻底改革。然而,主要焦点将是减少经济不活跃和让更多的人进入劳动力市场。

勒庞赢得了法国第一轮选举,但没有获得预期的多数票。这使得马克龙的政党暂时安全,但只会增加对该国未来政府道路的困惑。许多选民对马克龙的延长任期感到愤怒,希望看到改革尽快发生。欧洲经济的任何下滑都将导致这些紧张局势进一步恶化。

这两个货币的数据将于周四公布,德国的通胀数据和英国的增长数据将于香港时间下午2点公布。

随着欧元区通胀持续,德国物价数据预计将从2.4%降至2.2%。英国的增长数据预计为0.7%,与上月持平。年度数据预计将从0.6%升至1.2%。

经济学家指出,上个月的数据显示,消费者在服装和家具上的支出远远超过预期。更好的天气也可能改善了建筑业。

凯投宏观的分析师表示,他们预计“经济复苏将在5月份恢复”。德意志银行表示,英国经济增长将“反弹”。

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