中国股市等待制造业增长数据

中国股市将于周一公布财新制造业PMI数据。

CHINA 50 – Daily Chart

CN50指数日线图

CN50指数一直徘徊在12930到14359之间。即将到来的数据可能会测试这两个目标中的任何一个。

将于香港时间周一上午9点45分发布的最新数据,将是该指数在50上方出现一些变动的另一个机会。上月的pmi为50.1,刚刚处于扩张模式,但分析师预计2月份将达到50.3。然而,本月的任何改善都可能受到关税威胁的影响。

唐纳德·特朗普两天前表示,他计划对来自中国的商品征收新的10%关税。今年早些时候特朗普的关税令生效后,从中国进口的商品已经面临至少10%的边境税。中国外交部表示,已“强烈”表达了对该计划的“不满和坚决反对”。特朗普还表示,他正在推进对加拿大和墨西哥进口产品征收25%关税的威胁,该关税将于3月4日开始实施。

不断升级的关税给中国经济带来了进一步的压力,中国经济一直无法创造真正的实力。5%的GDP增长率是一个亮点,但外国投资者回归缓慢,但这可能与人工智能驱动的反弹相吻合,这种反弹推动了英伟达等公司的发展,资本仍留在国内市场。

与此同时,中国人民银行周日表示,政府高层会议将增加对民营、小微企业的信贷配置,并进一步简化民营市场融资。

中国人民银行行长潘功胜在最近的会议上表示,央行将进一步支持金融机构,引导金融资源向民营经济倾斜,实施适度宽松的货币政策。

“私营企业的融资成本预计将在较长时期内保持在较低水平,从而为其发展创造有利的宏观货币和金融环境,”潘说。

进一步支持经济的努力可以帮助应对迫在眉睫的关税,周一公布的制造业数据是近期的催化剂。《中国日报》指出,中国经济在2024年创下了历史新高,并表示西方媒体对中国经济末日的叙述非常执着。

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