Las apuestas por diferencias y los CFD son instrumentos complejos y conllevan un alto riesgo de perder dinero rápidamente debido al apalancamiento.
La gran mayoría de las cuentas de clientes minoristas pierden dinero cuando operan con CFDs.
Debe considerar si puede permitirse asumir el alto riesgo de perder su dinero.

El destino del oro depende del IPC estadounidense

Las probabilidades implícitas de los tipos de interés de la Reserva Federal responden cada vez más a los datos sobre inflación y empleo, lo que muestra la indecisión del mercado antes de la reunión de marzo de la Fed, que podría orientar los precios del oro.

xauusd

XAUUSD – Gráfico diario

El análisis técnico en el gráfico diario favorece a los alcistas. En el gráfico diario, la acción del precio XAU/USD muestra una ruptura del reciente patrón gráfico de triángulo simétrico y por encima de las asas psicológicas de $1850 ojo al máximo anterior de $1895.

La semana pasada, la montaña rusa de los precios del oro hizo que el metal amarillo cerrara significativamente al alza gracias a los datos de las nóminas no agrícolas de EE.UU. (NFP). Sin embargo, los mercados se centraron más en el aumento del desempleo y el descenso de los salarios que en el dato principal de las nóminas no agrícolas. Esta mezcla de datos se centrará en el próximo informe del IPC estadounidense.

El impacto en las previsiones de los tipos de interés se ha reducido drásticamente a un tipo terminal del 5,283%. El debate sobre si la Fed optará por un incremento de 25 o 50 puntos básicos se inclina ahora por el primero en función del dato de inflación del martes, que muestra unas presiones elevadas. Cabe mencionar la cuestión de las dificultades en el sector bancario tras la saga del Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), en el sentido de que el entorno de tipos de interés elevados (política monetaria restrictiva) está empezando a poner de manifiesto las fragilidades en sectores específicos de los mercados financieros mundiales y puede incitar a la Fed a proceder con cautela.

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