Client Portal
Open account

Oil Price Rally on Tuesday Could Hurt Inflation Outlook

Oil prices rallied strongly on Tuesday; a low price could affect inflation. 

USOIL – 4H Chart

USOIL – 4H Chart 

Oil has found a strong support cluster, and Monday’s move was again strong, higher than $83. The price of oil could push toward $85 next. 

Oil prices rose again on Tuesday as investors continued to worry about the risk from geopolitical concerns in the Middle East. Brent crude oil futures traded higher at $87.18 a barrel. US crude oil prices rose above $83. 

Both benchmark oil prices had fallen on Monday after no further escalation of the Middle East tensions over the weekend. 

“The unwinding of geopolitical risk premium has dented crude oil prices recently as supply was not disrupted meaningfully,” said Sugandha Sachdeva at SS WealthStreet. 

Even if there was no escalation over the weekend, there is still a risk of further conflict at any time, supporting the oil price. 

ANZ analysts said in a podcast that US approval of new sanctions on Iran’s oil sector could include foreign ports, vessels, and refineries that knowingly process or ship Iranian crude. 

“The geopolitical backdrop is still very fraught with so many risks at the moment, so we’re going to see a lot of volatility until there’s a lot more clarity around it,” the ANZ analysts said. 

Wall Street is now awaiting US GDP on Thursday and personal consumption data on Friday, which is the preferred indicator of inflation for the Federal Reserve.  

Fed officials and other central banks may be holding off while there is a threat of further tensions abroad. The Ukraine conflict first sparked inflation, and any sanctions on Iran could lead to higher oil prices. 

Oil was hurt last week by a rise in inventories of 4.09 million barrels as shale companies continue to produce large amounts. The number was higher than the increase of 3.03 million barrels reported by the API for the previous week, while economists were expecting an increase of only 600,000 barrels. 

If inventory numbers settle this week, it could support oil prices further, alongside the risk of further geopolitical tensions.

This market commentary and analysis has been prepared for ATFX by a third party for general information purposes only. Any view expressed does not constitute a personal recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell as it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives, and should therefore not be interpreted as financial, investment or other advice, or relied upon as such. You should therefore seek independent advice before making any investment decisions. This information has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. We aim to establish and maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. The market data is derived from independent sources believed to be reliable, however we make no representation or warranty of its accuracy or completeness, and accept no responsibility for any consequence of its use by recipients. Reproduction of this information, in whole or in part, is not permitted.

Recent News
Start Trading Now!

Try our demo account for free to learn trading. When you’re ready, switch to the live account and start trading for real.

Open a Live Account
Open a Demo Account
Popular posts
Learn more
with ATFX
Related Content
ATFX_logo

© ATFX.COM. All rights reserved.

ATFX is a co-brand shared by a group of entities including: 

AT Global Markets (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the United Kingdom with registration number 760555. The Registered Office: 1st Floor, 32 Cornhill, London EC3V 3SG, United Kingdom.

AT Global Markets (Australia) Pty Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission with AFSL number 418036. The registered office: Tower 2 Darling Park, Level 16, 201 Sussex Street, Sydney NSW 2000.

AT Global Markets SA (Pty) Ltd is licensed in South Africa by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority with FSP license number 44816 and a licensed OTC Derivatives Provider. The registered office: Office 1801B, 18th Floor Portside Tower, 4 Bree Street, Cape Town, Western Cape 8001. ATFX SA and ATFX Connect are trading names of AT Global Markets SA (Pty) Ltd.

ATFX Global Markets (CY) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under the license no. 285/15. The Registered Office: 159 Leontiou A’ Street, Maryvonne Building Office 204, 3022, Limassol, Cyprus.

AT Global Markets Intl Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission with license number C118023331. The Registered Office: G08, Ground Floor, The Catalyst, Silicon Avenue, 40 Cybercity, 72201 Ebène, Republic of Mauritius.

AT Global Markets (SC) Limited is licensed by the Seychelles Financial Services Authority as a Securities Dealer with License No. SD093. The Registered Office: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles.

ATFX MENA FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC is regulated by the Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA) in the United Arab Emirates with the license number 20200000078.

EMERGING MARKETS is regulated by the Jordan Securities Commission authority as an Introducing Broker license number 643 and is the regulated entity in the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan.

ATFX is a trade mark of AT Global Markets INTL LTD a company registered in Mauritius under FSC and all services in the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan is offered through its Introducing Broker.

AT Global Markets LLC is a Limited Liability Company in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines with company number 333 LLC 2020. The Registered Office: Euro House, Richmond Hill Road, Kingstown, St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

ATFX (Cambodia) Company Limited in Cambodia is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Regulator of Cambodia with the license number 040.

HIGH RISK INVESTMENT WARNING: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts for Differences (CFDs) is highly speculative, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You may sustain a loss of some or all of your invested capital, therefore, you should not speculate with capital that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Please read the full Terms of Business.

Restricted Regions: AT Global Markets SA (Pty) Ltd does not provide services to residents of certain countries, including but not limited to Canada, Japan, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), Iran and United States of America (USA), or any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

ATFX

Account Registration Unavailable

Please note that you may be accessing this page from outside South Africa. For retail and professional inquiries regarding AT Global Markets SA (Pty) Ltd, kindly reach out to us at [email protected]

As you are accessing this site from outside South Africa, please visit https://www.atfx.com/en/ to continue.

Go to ATFX
ATFX

Important Notice

We would like to inform you that, in order to ensure full compliance with the regulations of the Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission (CVM), the opening of new accounts for individuals residing or domiciled in the Federative Republic of Brazil is currently unavailable.

This measure is necessary to complete the final stages of the technological and operational integration process with our local intermediary partner, Levycam CCTVM Ltda. (CNPJ 50.579.044/0001-96), in accordance with the guidelines set forth in CVM Guidance Opinion No. 33/2005.

As a result, it is not possible to proceed with your account opening request at this time. Once the regulatory and operational integration process is completed, the account opening flow will be enabled, and interested parties will be duly informed.

ATFX is not authorized by the Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission (CVM) to offer intermediation or distribution services for securities issued abroad to investors residing in the Federative Republic of Brazil. Currently, ATFX does not operate nor actively offer intermediation services in Brazil. By accessing this website, investors declare that they are aware of the applicable legal restrictions and agree that they are operating outside the jurisdiction of the CVM. Investments abroad are not covered by the protection mechanisms existing in Brazil, such as the MRP and the FGC. With the objective of enabling future regularized operations, ATFX has entered into a contract for the provision of foreign intermediation services with the Brazilian brokerage firm Levycam CCTVM (CNPJ 50.579.044/0001-96), as provided for in CVM Guidance Opinion No. 33/2005. However, activities related to local intermediation are still in the pre-operational phase (technological and regulatory integration process). If you have any questions regarding the regulation of your trading accounts, please contact us.

I understand
ATFX

🌍 Welcome to ATFX!

To provide you with the best trading experience in Iraq, please visit our localized website:

There, you’ll find all products, services, and contact information tailored specifically for you. Thank you for choosing ATFX!

Go to ATFX (AR)
ATFX

Restrictions on Use

Products and Services on this website are not suitable for the UK residents. Such information and materials should not be regarded as or constitute a distribution, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any investments. Please visit https://www.atfx.com/en/ to proceed.

ATFX

Restrictions on Use