差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

新年油價反彈帶來潛在上漲

2025年開始,油價大幅上漲至每桶74美元以上,並可能延續漲勢。

USOIL – Weekly Chart

美國原油-週圖

美國原油的價格已經從67美元附近的基礎反彈,並在周水平上超過74美元。這可能導致本週股市進一步上漲,並可能出現空頭回補。

接受達拉斯聯邦儲備銀行調查的能源產業高層表示,他們對商業活動改善變得溫和樂觀,但今年油價仍將停滯不前。

124家石油和天然氣公司的高層表示,他們預計今年夏季西德州中質原油的價格為每桶69美元,年底為每桶71美元。從12月中旬開始的政策可能會被證明是錯誤的,較低的潛在持倉油可能會被甩掉。

Again Capital的John Kilduff表示:“中國目前不斷宣布試圖刺激經濟活動,市場正在註意到這一點。”

中國宣布了一些提振經濟成長的新措施,包括出乎意料地提高政府工作人員薪資,以及大幅增加超長期國債融資。額外的資金將用於刺激商業投資和消費者驅動的措施。

由於預計冬季天氣將變冷,對取暖油的需求將會增加,這進一步支撐了油價。

瑞銀分析師Giovanni Staunovo表示:「石油需求可能受益於歐洲和美國的低溫。」隨著新年的到來,大雪襲擊了歐洲部分地區和英國,可能會耗盡能源儲備。

即將上任的美國總統川普可能會推翻拜登總統禁止新建油氣田的決定,但這可能會加劇對供應的擔憂。

未來一週的表現將考驗油價近期的漲勢,未來的目標將是突破75美元,開啟80-83美元的週期高點。

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