差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

原油價格無視中東衝突測試支撐位

儘管人們擔心中東衝突會導致「油價觸及150美元」,但油價仍保持了下跌勢頭。

USOIL – Daily Chart

USOIL -日圖

從日線圖來看,油價正在測試10月初以來的低點81.50美元左右。 低於該水準的是80美元附近的一系列支撐位。

世界銀行警告稱,如果以色列和哈馬斯之間的戰爭在中東地區引發像50年前那樣的大規模衝突,油價有可能飆升至每桶150美元以上的創紀錄高點。

世界銀行在其首份有關戰爭升級的經濟風險的重要報告中表示,原油價格有可能進入“未知領域”。

與1973年阿拉伯抵制西方石油類似的「大規模破壞」情景將造成供應短缺,導致每桶石油價格從90美元左右上漲到140美元至157美元之間。 此前的紀錄是在2008年創下的每桶147美元。

世界銀行首席經濟學家Indermit Gill表示:“在中東發生最新衝突之前,大宗商品市場剛剛遭受了上世紀70年代以來最大的衝擊——俄羅斯與烏克蘭的戰爭。” “這對全球經濟產生了破壞性影響,一直持續到今天。”

“政策制定者需要保持警惕。 如果衝突升級,全球經濟將面臨幾十年來第一次雙重能源衝擊——不僅來自烏克蘭戰爭,還來自中東。 ”

目前,石油行業樂觀地認為,衝突不會像最初擔心的那樣嚴重。

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