差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

國際能源總署上調需求預測後原油價格尋底

國際能源總署預測,2024年石油需求將增加,油價跟隨上漲。

USOIL – Daily Chart

USOIL-日圖

美國原油的交易價為71.63美元,可能會回到75美元。

國際能源總署(IEA)週四表示,與第三季相比,本季全球石油需求成長正在放緩。 然而,該集團補充說,它將把2024年的需求成長預測從上個月上調約13萬桶/日。

國際能源總署表示,已將第四季的消費成長預測下調了近40萬桶/日,其中歐洲佔了修正量的一半以上。

總部位於巴黎的IEA表示:“石油需求放緩的證據越來越多,擴張速度將從23年第三季度的280萬桶/天放緩至23年第四季度的190萬桶/天。”

“宏觀經濟前景的惡化導致我們將今年最後三個月全球石油消費成長預測下調了近40萬桶/天。”

上調利率導致經濟疲軟,加上製造業和工業蕭條導致歐洲石油需求疲軟,被認為是下調預測的原因。 該機構目前預計2023年的產量將增加230萬桶/日。

IEA表示,石油消費成長「預計將大幅放緩」至110萬桶/日。 但從今天起,2024年的需求預測約為13萬桶/日,高於先前估計的93萬桶/日。

IEA也表示,美國的供應成長「繼續超出預期」。 “產量的持續增長和需求增長的放緩將使主要產油國捍衛其市場份額和維持高油價的努力複雜化。”

歐佩克預計,2024年全球石油需求將大幅成長,達到220萬桶/日,明年全球石油消費量平均為1.044億桶/日,與去年11月的評估結果持平。

歐佩克本週表示:“在中國經濟活動持續改善的背景下,預計全球GDP的強勁增長將支撐石油需求。”

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