差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌英鎊:已經達到最高點了嗎?

在英國公佈好於預期的就業數據後,歐元兌英鎊在0.87水平上停滯不前。

經濟數據也顯示,歐元區和德國的ZEW信心指數不斷惡化。

eurgbp

歐元兌英鎊週圖

在失業率達到1974年以來的最低水平後,英國終於得到了一些好消息。英國國家統計局表示,截至7月的三個月裡,失業率降至3.6%。大多數接受調查的經濟學家預計失業率將維持在3.8%。

然而,數據也顯示,經濟不活躍率上升到21.7%——多年來的最高水平。這是由於新冠肺炎等事件,老年員工決定通過退休或出於健康原因離開勞動力市場。

專家表示,這將給英國央行政策制定者帶來麻煩,因為勞動力短缺一直是工資增長和通脹上升的一個因素。

這得益於勞動力需求放緩的跡象,空缺職位減少了3.4萬,至127萬。隨著經濟的重新開放,職位空缺率達到了歷史新高。英國國家統計局表示,在此期間,不包括獎金在內的正常工資增長了5.2%,但工人的工資仍然為負。根據英國國家統計局的數據,扣除CPI後,實際工資同比下降3.9%。

歐洲經濟研究中心(ZEW)的經濟調查顯示,歐元區和德國的數據較弱。歐洲方面,預期為-58.3,實際數據為-60.7。在德國,由於經濟學家對歐洲大陸感到悲觀,預期降至60,實際數字為61.9。

ZEW研究所的評論指出:

“未來6個月的前景進一步惡化。冬季能源短缺的前景,使得對德國大部分工業的預期更加負面。此外,(由於封鎖)對中國經濟增長的評估不太樂觀。”

本週將發布更多數據,週三是英國通脹數據,週四是歐洲通脹數據。這應該會決定這是否是歐元英鎊貨幣對的頂部。英國的通貨膨脹率預計將從10.1%上升到10.2%,更高的數字將使英鎊進一步升值。

英鎊最近一直處於壓力之下,但就業數據可能會刺激英鎊兌歐元匯率復甦。

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