差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

全球緊張局勢得到遏制,金價維持疲軟

由於全球緊張局勢受到控制,金價走弱,但威脅依然存在。

Gold – Daily Chart

黃金日線圖

黃金價格已經從三角形形態下滑,正處於一個十字路口,在那裡可能找到支撐,或者開始進一步下跌。 2000美元是黃金找到買家的關鍵水平。 低於這個水平,將看向1960美元。

以色列和哈馬斯之間的緊張關係有所緩和,前者不得不在國際法庭上為自己的攻擊辯護。 這導致各方呼籲停火,並可能減緩進一步的衝突。

另一個問題是在更廣泛的中東地區,英國船隻加入了美國的行列,打擊針對油輪和其他貿易船隻的攻擊。 儘管有來自伊朗的威脅,但該地區沒有出現更大範圍衝突的跡象。 中國與美國的關係也有所改善,但台灣最近的選舉結果使兩國關係再次改變。

但更重要的問題可能是俄羅斯和烏克蘭之間的問題,兩國的衝突已趨於平緩,烏克蘭損失了許多軍隊。 進一步起草草案和歐洲軍隊更廣泛湧入的討論可能會使今年的局勢升級。

各國央行似乎打算將利率維持在比投資者最初希望的更長時間,這是通膨和高利率加劇的另一個不利因素,可能會造成滯膨環境。

2023年,儘管人民幣價格飆升,但中國的黃金需求仍持續成長。 以人民幣計算,黃金在2023年上漲了17%,是中國表現第二好的資產類別。 只有全球股市的表現優於黃金,這可能是個跡象,顯示在股市失去積極推動因素之際,需求仍在持續。

2023年,上海黃金交易所(SGE)的黃金提取量為1,687噸,較去年同期成長7%,而批發需求比5年平均高出3%。 持續的全球問題、不斷上升的政府債務和疲軟的經濟將刺激需求。

世界黃金協會表示:“家庭保值需求的增加進一步提升了黃金的吸引力:當其他主要資產的貨幣走弱時,當地黃金價格的出色表現吸引了他們的注意。”

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