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美元兑日元可能因央行决策而面临波动

近两日,日本央行和美联储将公布利率决定和央行会议。

USDJPY-–-Daily-Chart

美元兑日元-日线图

美元兑日元位于8月高点和11月支撑位的重要水平之间。下跌或上涨可能标志着中期趋势走势。

日本央行行长将于香港时间周三下午2:30召开新闻发布会。美联储将在凌晨2点公布其利率会议,随后将举行新闻发布会,美元兑日元可能在本周末有一个明确的趋势。

交易员预计,日本央行本月将暂停其加息周期,此前日本央行将政策利率上调至0.50%,为17年来的最高水平,而日本仍将2%的通胀目标定为目标。尽管人们对贸易战和经济放缓的担忧日益加剧,但日本央行行长植田和男及其同事继续暗示,如果通货膨胀率达到2%,将进一步加息。

日本的通货膨胀处于自2023年1月以来的最高水平,1月份消费者价格指数为4%,不含食品和能源的核心通货膨胀率从上月的2.4%上升至2.5%。

“长期利率受多种因素影响。但最大的决定因素是市场对短期政策利率前景的预测,”上田说。

人们普遍预计美联储将维持利率不变,新闻发布会可能会对最近的贸易动向和美元的低迷发表一些有趣的评论。

特朗普在前几个月一直批评美联储主席,并可能对美联储的任何批评做出反应。财政部长斯科特·贝森特和特朗普表示,经济将出现短期动荡,但在市场稳定后,美国将恢复强势。

在接下来的几天里,美元兑日元可能会突破149.50并继续前进。

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