差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美元走势疲惫向102关口靠近

美元在市场中的主导地位似乎在上月达到105后达到了顶点。这是由于4月份利率上调50个基点造成的,这使美元比市场上其他所有货币都有优势。从4月到5月,这种主导地位似乎在本周创造了新低,今天在亚洲交易时段,美元指数跌破了102.1——这是四周以来的首次。

在经历了长期的熊市趋势后,许多与美元交叉的货币对目前正在重新回升。例如,欧元兑美元已经突破了其两个月来的阻力位1.0600,今天的交易价格达到了1.0690的高位。此外,纽元兑美元本周已突破其阻力位0.64040,创造了0.64897的新高位。

黄金、白银原油等大宗商品受到青睐。投资者正逐步回归风险偏好模式,将投资组合分散到风险资产中。

今日影响美元的关键因素

今天财经日历上的一些事件将进一步决定美元的下一个方向:

美国制造业及服务业PMI初值

制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)的初值是根据每月采购经理人指数(PMI)调查结果的80% – 90%来估算一个国家的制造业实力。这一数据的上升将意味着美元的看涨趋势。如果该指数低于预测值55.1,则对美元不利。

此外,美国服务业采购经理人指数(PMI)如果表明购买力的增加也将意味着对美元有利,反之亦然。

1. 新屋销售

预测是751k,前值是763k。新房销售量的增加是经济增长的好迹象。

2. 里奇蒙德制造业指数

第五大联储地区的制造业指数,包括:西弗吉尼亚、卡罗来纳、哥伦比亚特区、弗吉尼亚和马里兰。预测是9,前值是14。数据上升将对美元有利。

3. 鲍威尔讲话

美联储主席鲍威尔今天将在纽约会议期间发表重要讲话,这将在很大程度上决定美元的命运。他的任何鸽派立场都将使美元指数跌破100。另一个鹰派立场会再次改变美元的主导地位吗?

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