美元迎来重要的一周:美联储、关税截止日期和非农就业

美元将迎来重要的一周,美联储将召开会议,特朗普的关税期限即将到来,非农就业数据也将公布。

USDX – Daily Chart

美元-日线图

美元指数正在测试关键支撑位,这标志着4月份的低点。美元需要回到该水平之上,否则进一步走弱可能会回到96.372的低点。

美联储本周将公布利率决议,但预计将维持借贷水平不变。

此次会议将在特朗普罕见地访问世行总部之后举行。总统一直对美联储主席持批评态度,这甚至可能导致本周意外降息,或者至少改变措辞。市场仍然担心特朗普可能会试图撤换鲍威尔,任命一位更温和的领导人。

除了美联储之外,特朗普对欧洲和其他国家征收关税的最后期限即将在8月到来。美国已经宣布与日本和英国等国达成协议,但特朗普上周表示,与加拿大的协议还远未完成。

他说:“我们和加拿大没有协议,我们没有把重点放在这个问题上。”特朗普写信给加拿大领导人,威胁要征收35%的关税。如果在截止日期之前没有新的公告,投资者可能会感到紧张。

与截止日期同一天,美国将公布最新的就业报告,经济学家预计就业人数将增加10.2万人,低于此前的14.7万人。美国5月份就业增长放缓,新增13.9万个就业岗位,失业率稳定在4.2%。

未来一周对于美元在关键支撑位上的表现很重要。

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