欧元兑英镑汇率聚焦周一数据公布

随着周一经济数据的发布,欧元兑英镑汇率应该会活跃起来。

EURGBP – 4H Chart

欧元兑英镑-4小时图

欧元兑英镑最近一直在下跌,从上行支撑线跌破。正在测试水平支撑位,并可能寻找更低的支撑位0.8563。

该货币对将于香港时间下午2点发布德国通胀数据。预计通货膨胀率将维持在上个月的2.2%。英国就业数据也将同时发布,预计失业率将再次上升。

英国央行首席经济学家皮尔的讲话可能会让英镑走强。皮尔曾表示,尽管仍有减缓通胀的措施,但宽松的利率政策可能会削弱英镑。

最后,香港时间下午5点,ZEW将对德国和欧元区进行经济调查。预计这两项数据都将较上月有所改善。

上周的数据显示,英国经济在2024年第一季度实现了近三年来的最大增长,结束了2020年下半年的轻度衰退。

根据英国国家统计局的数据,英国GDP在截至3月份的三个月里增长了0.6%。这是自2021年第四季度增长1.5%以来最大幅度的增长。

在即将到来的选举之前,这一最新举措将为首相苏纳克提供一个小小的住所。然而,预计他的保守党将面临自上世纪90年代以来输给工党的最重大损失。选举尚未宣布,但预计将在秋季举行。

英国央行也对英国经济前景做出了更好的预测,预计2024年英国经济将增长0.5%,而此前的预测为0.2%。

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