差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

金價再度飆升,5000美元大關近在眼前

受地緣政治擔憂影響,金價再次走高,距離5,000美元大關僅差112美元。

XAUUSD – Weekly Chart

現貨黃金 – 週線圖

現貨黃金價格延續漲勢,連續三天飆升至4,900美元附近。多頭佔據主導地位,逢低買進仍是最安全的策略。

川普總統就格陵蘭島問題發出威脅後,黃金的強勁漲勢仍在持續。投資人擔心此舉可能導致歐洲對美國國債採取報復行動,因此正在尋找避險資產。

據稱,一家丹麥退休基金正在拋售售價1億美元的美國債券。該基金的投資主管表示,他們對美國政府的財政狀況和不斷上升的信用風險感到擔憂。他們承認,格陵蘭島僵局使得這項決定更容易做出。

管理層表示:“這與美歐之間持續的裂痕沒有直接關係,但這當然也增加了我們做出這一決定的難度。”

但投資者擔心其他國家會效仿,引發另一場主權債務危機。安德斯·斯凱爾德聲稱,美國「糟糕的政府財政狀況」是其拋售持股的主要原因。外國投資者持有約占美國未償債務總額20%至25%的份額,總額約8兆至9兆美元。歐洲投資者是美國長期國債最大的區域性外國持有者。光是歐元區投資者就佔外國長期國債總額的約五分之一。

中國和日本也是美國國債的主要持有者。雖然與中國可能出現緊張關係,但日本更像是美國的盟友。然而,日本本身也面臨債務問題,如果美國繼續挑釁其他國家,這些問題可能會蔓延至全球。

美國財政部長貝森特駁斥了歐洲各國政府可能大舉拋售美國國債的想法,稱此舉「有悖常理」。

白銀價格也創下95美元以上的新高,但川普表示不會動用武力收購格陵蘭島後,白銀價格在隨後的交易時段有所回落。受此消息提振,股市也隨之上漲,但在全球關係不確定性的脈絡下,悲觀情緒可能持續。

雅德尼研究公司預測,由於巨額政府赤字和國際局勢緊張,黃金價格今年將達到6,000美元,到2030年甚至可能達到1,0000美元。投資銀行分析師的平均目標價為4,600美元。瑞士銀行瑞銀集團給的目標價最高,為5,400美元。

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