差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

多國央行議息儲局勢縮買債

12月超級議息周正式來臨,四大央行將於週四密集宣佈議息結果,週五則是日本央行宣佈。金融市場高度重視各央行明年貨幣政策展望,指引環球投資市場方向及部署明年策略。其中聯儲局議息結果和新聞發佈會將於週四率先出爐。由於美國11月CPI年率飆至近39年最高,意味聯儲局可能隨時宣佈將加快縮減買債規模,加息時間亦可能估計推前。

聯儲局決議前,市場亦關心美國11月零售銷售和PPI結果,兩項數據亦會給予重要參考,引導加息步伐美元或得到支撐。技術上,美匯指數現徘徊於96附近,若數據和貨幣政策利好,美匯有望測試96.70 或97。相反美匯回撤,先參考95.63支撐位,擴大回撤幅度將看95.00。

週四亦關注瑞士,英國及歐洲央行宣佈議息結果。市場一直關注英國何時加息,但受變種病毒出現,英國政府宣佈提高防疫措施,可能限制經濟增長發展。若英國央行議息會再一次宣佈維持利率和量寬規模不變,將可能給英鎊帶來一些下行風險。英鎊兌美元於日圖上,1.33阻力依然強勁,可能限制升幅。技術上若跌破近期1.3160低位,有可能擴大跌幅至1.30範圍。

另一市場焦點是歐洲央行議息,市場期望央行宣佈提早結束「疫情緊急購買計劃」(PEPP)和擴大「資產購買計劃」(APP),而且市場亦關心歐洲央行對通脹問題的展望,指引央行加息步伐。

但歐洲央行一直表示經濟復蘇仍然脆弱,因變病毒在歐洲蔓延,再次限制經濟活動就是例證之一。所以市場目光放在歐洲央行在這會議中期待宣佈擴大APP的確實數字或持續時間,若僅限於提出擴大資產購買規模的含糊承諾,讓投資者失去歐洲收緊貨幣政策的耐性,可能帶來歐羅下行壓力,有機會再考驗近期低位1.1230支撐。

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